The Trump campaign believed that its worst-case scenario was a crowd of 60,000 people for its Tulsa rally, but they were 54,000 too short.
Nevertheless, there was great interest in the event. Approximately 1.1 million people signed up to participate, which forced helpers to make plans to host an additional outdoor event. The helpers knew the number was over 1.1 million: after reviewing registrations – a process that checked registrants' voting history – they found that around 300,000 were fake.
In order to further limit the likely audience, the consultants estimated that only between 200,000 and 300,000 people lived within driving distance. The worst scenario, they concluded, was an audience of around 60,000.
The Trump campaign is about stopping mega rallies. They are considering holding small outdoor and airport events, but participating in the rally is only part of their problem. The Trump campaign has no idea how to direct Trump's focus on Joe Biden.
Trump is only interested in speaking about himself, which makes their efforts to run the election over the former vice president fatal. The Trump campaign seems to find reasons why people vote to reflect Trump, and they have no argument why people shouldn't vote for Biden.
Trump is lost without an opponent to be demonized. The president has not changed his strategy to reflect the reality that he is the incumbent and no longer a political outsider.
The Trump campaign did not go well in 2016 and will be released in 2020.
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Mr. Easley is the Founder / Senior Editor and Senior Correspondent of the White House and Congress for PoliticusUSA. Jason has a bachelor's degree in political science. His thesis focused on public policy, specializing in social reform movements.
Awards and professional memberships
Member of the Society of Professional Journalists and the American Political Science Association