On Monday, the US Census Bureau released the results of the 2020 census. The final balance sheet changes the number of representatives some states now have, and therefore changes the number of electoral college votes they have.
The results are mixed, but note that the largest blue states lost seats while the largest red states won.
California and New York lost one seat apiece along with Illinois, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and West Virginia.
Texas, on the other hand, got two seats while Florida, North Carolina, Colorado, Montana, and Oregon got one seat each.
The results are pretty close to what some have predicted.
ONCE IT HAPPENS: The Census Bureau will publish the number of seats in the US House of Representatives in each state for the next 10 years. Predictions:
🍊FL: WINS 1-2 seats
🏞MT: WIN 1 seat
🤠TX: WINS 3-4 seats
🗽NY: LOSES 1-2 seats
🐘AL: LOSES 0-1 seat
We will watch. Stay tuned!
– Democracy Docket (@DemocracyDocket) April 26, 2021
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Advantage could be based on GOP with new numbers
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Kiplinger said the new census numbers could help Republicans in 2024.
The Midwest and Northeast are not doing well. Eight out of ten states that are slated to lose seats come from these two regions.
The states in the south and west recorded the greatest increases in representation.
If we look at the map of the 2020 presidential election, states that voted for Donald Trump received +3 net votes.
Alabama will keep all 7 congressional districts, the US census announced. https://t.co/RN0Giq0IBg pic.twitter.com/lXBuWiKoTZ
– AL.com (@aldotcom) April 26, 2021
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New district lines are drawn
With new census numbers come newly drawn congressional districts. Here, too, the GOP has the upper hand over who draws the lines.
While each state has different processes for drawing the lines, in 26 states anyone who operates the statehouse is allowed to draw the lines of the Congressional district, and in those states the Republicans control the statehouse.
The Bloomberg report also states that Republicans control the majority of the fastest growing congressional districts across the country.
Currently, the Democratic majority in the House of Representatives is very thin, between 218 and 212, and five seats are vacant.
Even the smallest geographical changes can change the balance of power, depending on how the redistribution takes place in several countries.
For Democrats, this could make a struggle for DC statehood much more attractive. Washington DC is one of the most liberal areas in the country and would guarantee Democratic members of the House and Senate.
Texas will get the most new seats in the US House of Representatives under the new census figures released Monday, while states in the Northeast and Midwest will lose seven seats, shifting some political clout to Republican strongholds before mid-2022. @BGOV
– Senator John Cornyn (@JohnCornyn) April 26, 2021
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Losing a seat in California is particularly significant as it is the first time since statehood in 1850.
The general shift in population south and west, currently strongholds of the GOP, could have a huge impact in the years to come.
Census data shows a shift in House seats to states like Texas and Florida that could wipe out the tiny majority of Democrats. Https://t.co/PBfBLfZrkp
– Reuters (@Reuters) April 26, 2021
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